seven reasons i don't think there will be a federal election called before summer

Posted on April 22, 2005 by

1 Comment


of course the hot talk at work (beside luna’s potential love interest) is the possibility of a federal election. although the pessimist in me would like to predict dire woe, i just don’t see an election happening before the fall, and not likely before next spring. here are seven reasons why:

  1. elections are expensive – both for taxpayers and political parties. none of the political parties has recovered financially from the last election yet…. and another election will take on the appearance of wasting taxpayer dollars
  2. the majority of canadians (when polled) don’t want an election right now
  3. although the conservatives have risen in the polls, stephen harper has not – canadians still don’t trust him and that doesn’t bode well for his party’s chances, no matter what the polls say
  4. government just doesn’t move that fast
  5. any party forcing an election now runs a serious risk of alienating the majority of the canadian public
  6. summer elections historically have low turn-outs and there is little doubt that the results of an election called for june or july, only a year after the people have already spoken would be questioned if the turnout numbers were significantly lower than last may
  7. is anyone really that surprised by a government kick-back scandal? really?

i didn’t see paul martin on the television last night, so i’m not sure what type of case he made to the public for staying in power, but in my opinion a minority government is the safest bet we’ve got. it hampers the government from making any real changes, which can only be a good thing given the downward trend of world governments as of late.

Category: Analytic RantingTags: , ,

One Comment on “seven reasons i don't think there will be a federal election called before summer”

  1. i like to think that stephen harper has gone as far as he can go in terms of support. like everyone else will vote for a 5th or 6th party before voting for him.

    and martin gave all the enthusiasm of a wet sock. i would’ve been happier if he’d said what we all know he’s thinking… ‘I’ve been set up, this is the real Chretien legacy!!! Curses!!!’ (all while shaking his fist of course)

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